Monday, November 30, 2015

Joe Sugars of St. Pauls 1916 to 2016

Maybe the most enjoyable of my experiences growing up and spending most of one's working life in a number of Southeastern North Carolina counties are the friends one meets along the years.  in January 1982 I got to meet someone who would teach me as much about marketing in 30 minute visits each Tuesday morning as any college course could ever do. 


In early 1982 I began work as a retail advertising salesperson with the Fayetteville Observer and took on the Robeson County route.  Part of that route was the weekly stop at Joe Sugars of St. Pauls NC clothing store for their weekly ads in the newspaper.  Frankly I was not prepared for the first experience of walking into this clothing store in the small town of St. Pauls. By small town I mean something like 1000 population tops and a small main street of at most two blocks.  But I went to do my first call on Stanley Sugar at his clothing store in this small town pulling up to a store that was from the outside rather normal for a town this size.  Into the store I went and unto my eyes I see on table after table thousands and thousands of pants, hung in rows thousands of dress coats, and stacked on shelf after shelf thousands of shirts, and huge selections of absolutely everything a well dressed man would need. Thus was Joe Sugars of St. Pauls NC and their slogan "if you got a figure we can fit it" because they have a piece of men's apparel for every need for any size man. Also in almost any color too. Seriously this was and likely still is the most men's apparel one would will find  under one roof in one location on the East Coast.  



So for the next decade plus of serving the newspaper advertising needs of this clothing store from my posts at two newspapers I got the priviledge of spending some time about once a week with Stanley Sugar, who was the second generation of this soon to be 100 year old establishment. Stanley would always run a series of small ads each week in the newspaper touching about every day and almost every section of the newspaper.  Simply put he did this since he knew most people would look at certain sections they favored and almost any ad no matter what size would be noticed if the ad had something worth reading.   He would tailor his business card sized ads for the particular section of the newspaper it was in such as women's section, sports section, general news, etc.  He would generally come up with a new group of ideas each week too in what I quickly realized was a fertile mind of marketing ideas.  He would do the original pull an envelope and get a discount ads and would go clever with "closed Wednesday afternoon, but open late Saturday to make up for it" ads. He had a picture in his store of a very old looking man that was labeled "35 year old clothing merchant."  His dressing rooms well...err...ahh.. were labeled X rated, R rated, and G rated but all were in good taste.  He had a plaque with the words " Price is what you pay and value is what you get and those who consider price alone are another man's lawful prey."  To this day I have that plaque on my wall as well as I considered it wise advice. 

On the days I would go pick up his ads I would either go to the back of the store and get them or go to the shoe sales area where he would be sitting and doing some book work or just taking a break. Here in the shoes I would get my masters degree on how clothing retailing and marketing worked and how it would apply to other businesses too.  Stanley had a wonderful dry sense of humor that everyone would enjoy.  One day I asked him what type of customer he liked to do business with best and he said it easily would be a salesperson of any type, in that they always needed good looking clothing for sales work and would buy his wares on sales and on non sales periods too.  Just fine customers who would not quibble too much and he would do all he could to keep their business.  As for the worst customers, he said easily lawyers and doctors, who would complain about the offerings he had and then complain more about the price.  He noted they would try and "Jew" him down with one of his great laughs.   Stanley being a Jew himself made the comment most funny. Stanley took his store, employees, customers, and family seriously, himself not so much. 

I always found it cool and rather nice that Stanley Sugar successful clothing merchant and first in the nations now cool trend of wearing outlandish colored socks would take time to school me a young advertising salesperson.  Over the years I discovered if he really liked you, he really liked you, and he would take time to chat even during a busy day.  Later in his life he was wanting to pass on his store to family and was working on convincing his young nephew and the store's original owner namesake Joe Sugar Jr. to come take over the business.   During the period of decision I told Stanley that he was having problems getting young Joe to come forward that I would do him the honor of marrying into his family and converting to Judaism if he would let me take over the business.  Stanley laughed so hard he about feel out of his chair, then said that might have been the most honorable offer he ever had.  Friends could talk with Stanley that way and I considered myself blessed to be a friend of many years. 

Stanley passed on sometime later and indeed his family took over the store.  Joe Sugar Jr. as expected became owner of the now almost 100 year old establishment.  Since I retired I do not see Joe Jr. as much since my dress up clothing needs have dwindled a bit.   However my main navy blue blazer in my closet as I write this is still labeled Joe Sugars of St. Pauls.  As Stanley taught me now those almost four decades ago no well dressed man is without a good quality navy blue blazer in his closet as they go with many dress pants and make a man well dressed.   So sometime next during the next 6 months I am going to drive the less than hour drive down I-95 to St. Pauls and get another blue blazer in a toast to Stanley Sugar my old friend.  Might even walk around the store and think about those days we used to talk in the shoe dept.  Hopefully Joe Sugar Jr. will read this and invite me to the 100th Anniversary event sometime next June 2016. In the meantime if you have not done yourself the favor of checking out this one of kind men's store do so and you will be glad you got to know Joe Sugars of St. Pauls. NC.

               

Tuesday, November 24, 2015

Ode to Jim Parker


Even across the room my old friend and boss recognized me with his now 91 year old eyes. There was also that twinkle one would always see in his eyes when he saw somebody who had worked with him and enjoyed doing some catching up. Those who worked for him know about that twinkle.  I had come this November 2015 day to Clinton NC in response to his son's book signing event in his former hometown, but in truth I was really there to see my old friend who a former newspaper co-worker had alerted me was to be there. 

It was now over 37 years ago that I walked into his newspaper and began discussing the advertising job opening he had due to the recent promotion of salesperson to advertising director at the Sampson Independent.  Little known to me at the time Jim Parker had already pretty much decided I was the one he wanted to hire since I came with then some over 3 years of experience doing what he wanted to me to do at his newspaper, sell advertising  We talked that July 1978 day, and he and his new advertising director sized me up, and they offered me the job on the spot.  Never in my over 3 decades of seeking employment did I get that and on this day I was more than ready to accept since I was ready to come home to Eastern North Carolina from a time working at a newspaper in another state.  

Even today I consider the next nearly four years working for Jim Parker, and the next decade getting his advice before he retired,  maybe the most satisfying and most learning of my life and career. Over the four years of working at The Sampson Independent I would meet several lifelong friends. Over the next four years I would find enjoyment with working with a group of professionals still unequaled in my career.  Over the next three decades many of those I met there would keep in contact and consider ourselves blessed to have come together at that moment and that time. 

Jim Parker was without doubt the person with the most integrity, most class, and the finest boss I ever had the priviledge with which to work.   I expect he knew he had assembled a special team at the Sampson Independent during those heady late 1970's days of the newspaper business.   Jim knew to just point us in the right direction and let us go and good things would happen.   Good things did happen too not only in advertising revenue, but also in news and advertising awards, quality of work done in all the newspaper's departments, and lots of good times for those working there.  One of those times of one being at the right place at the right time. 

That group also did something else too in the newspaper industry I expect is unequaled today.  The Sampson Independent trained and sent out more publishers and newspaper department heads at that newspaper and to other newspapers that of my last count was more than four dozen. For a small daily newspaper of just under 10000 circulation that was unheard of, but then again Jim Parker was a special boss and special person who knew who to pick good quality staff.

Jim Parker literally oozed integrity when he spoke and when he directed staff.  Jim got his honors through the years, NC Press President for a term being one of the best known, but I expect knowing him the most joy he got was watching his employees grow in the newspaper profession and do well. One could tell that from that twinkle again in his eye when he spoke of someone who had worked for him and went off and did good as they say. Jim respected us and pushed us to achieve to our best and in return anyone who ever worked for him never had a bad word to say about him and would perform at their highest level to get his approval. 

So this weekend in Clinton I got to talk newspapers and other topics with my close friend Jim Parker and for a moment relive those wonderful days of working with him at The Sampson Independent all those years ago.  Of course during our conversation Jim Parker made talk of his old newspaper there in town and right on cue as the old editor made points of criticism about how he thought they could do a better job of covering the news.   Riding around Clinton before I headed back home I got to revisit some old haunts and rode by the newspaper office that is still there after over four decades plus.  What I would give to go back and do it all over again. 

Thank you Jim Parker for the memories, the years of setting an example I always wanted to live up to, and most importantly the personal approval that comes from those who see that twinkle in your eye and know that means they are and will always be part of your extended newspaper family. 

Monday, November 16, 2015

The Economy remains Stuck on Stupid.

Stock market sell off...check.   New US House Speaker...check.  New US Government budget...check. Paris terrorist attack...check.  Nothing, no one, not a single activity can change the direction of this market.  That direction has been for over 6 years an uneven but steady climb upward for mega and large cap stocks.  Indeed no government policy or business policy has changed much either and we do not expect much change until at least Spring of 2017 and even then it is a big IF.  

We are as they say "stuck on stupid" and for those of us who have held and are still holding mega and large cap stocks we say "thank you very much."  For those needing jobs and those needing good paying jobs the tide is out and will be out for at least another two years or maybe longer.  For those needing higher interest rates that tide could be out for years.  So holding US Treasuries or buying CD's for safety has been less than rewarding and mostly a fools errand.  We have been stating and posting for some time now there will be no interest rate increases by the Federal Reserve for at least until late 2016 and we doubt any then.   The economy is just not capable of withstanding a rise in rates and with an election season upon us there will be none. 

Keeping up with inflation, or what used to be called inflation is pointless.  Witness that Social Security gave no increase this year and likely will not next year either.  Witness mortgage rates back down in the 3% range.  Here is a fact you can take to the bank. If you are in a business that needs human capital, or is human capital intensive, we would highly suggest you start considering another profession unless you are old enough to run the clock out.  Human capital, otherwise known as jobs, is a receding expense in most businesses due to the advance of technology.  McDonalds and Walmart are fast approaching the point where robots and such will replace higher cost humans.  Only in businesses where experienced or well trained human capital is needed is there job safety.  We say all this to note one of the reasons inflation is dead is that the highest cost of business which tends to be labor is fast losing the ability to ask for more compensation.  So the need and push for higher interest rates follows the inflation trend. 

So the beat goes on and we remain stuck on stupid.  Financial engineering by large cap companies buying back stock and increasing dividends to reward those with assets.  Political economy rewarding those who do not work, will not work, or feed off the government largess of the spending of those same non workers.  Crony capitalism remains alive and doing this well and those of us who have assets say another "thank you very much." 

As we stated in our next to last post the Doom and Gloom crowd, which is always wrong, has gone completely into hiding with the recent stock market surge back to this summer's highs.  They will likely stay there awhile, unless so real global crisis occurs such as someone gets mad and enters someone else's safe space, and even then if a terrorist attack can not stop money movement what can?  In any case keep your assets in mega and large cap stocks, mutual funds, or ETF's and enjoy the ride.  If you need a job, maybe even a high paying job, since you have been unable to figure out how to get on the government plantation gravy train of not needing a job, we suggest you consider electing a pro-growth President and Congress next time.  Of course with the two leading contenders not being pro-growth that might not be in the cards.

               

Thursday, November 5, 2015

Our current stock option trading portfolio. November 2015

This is our trading account stocks.  We look for value stocks that have little downside risk. Rarely do we trade stocks with over a 15 PE.  These are not suggestions for purchase, just a listing of stocks we prefer to trade at this time. 

AAPL..One of largest positions.  We continue to favor Apple for it's customers addiction to their products. Safety with little downside risk.  

AGN..  Biopharma with a solid cash position and low PE.  Has been sold off recently making it attractive. 

AMGN..Note comments above, just Amgen is a older company with even better base of support. 

BAC..Huge bank, one of big four, that is selling for less than actual book price with lots of upside potential. 

C..Another of the big four banks that is selling for less than book value. 

CHL..We like this Chinese telecom that is the worlds largest cell phone provider. 

CSCO..No one does much in networking without using something Cisco makes in routers. 

FB..Facebook is the future of the advertising platform.  The only stock with a high PE we own. 

GILD...Another biopharma that has sold off making for a nice entry point. 

JPM..The largest of the big four banks and selling at the lowest PE. 

JNJ..This is the largest pharma stock by market value and we like the safety. 

MRK..Large pharma that we like at this low PE. 

NEWM...We have been disappointed in this stock.  It has all the right ingredients for capital gains.  Good business idea, buying at good value, and making the most of efficiency in operations.  A nice high dividend too.  The only problem is that the market has not though the same. We continue to own it long for the nice dividend and possible capital appreciation. 

NNC..Our largest long position.  Closed end bond fund that has produced capital gains and steady tax free income for some time now.  We might lighten just a bit here if we sense a rate hike. 

ORCL..The biggest business software company in the world at a low PE. 

PFE...Large undervalued drug maker. 

T..Telecom provider that we like for the fact people who hooked to their phones. 

VZ..Telecom provider that we like for the fact people who hooked to their phones. 

WFC..Price has sold down for reasons we find silly and we really like it now. 

WMT...We believe Walmart has sold off too much for the world's largest retailer.